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Reminder: Please pay attention to the employment report of Australia in November (including the number of employed people and unemployment rate) at 08: 30 (Beijing time below); ② At 16: 30, the Swiss National Bank announced the interest rate resolution; ③ At 17: 00, the International Energy Agency (IEA) released the monthly crude oil market report; ④ 21:15 The European Central Bank announced the interest rate resolution (including main refinancing rate, deposit convenience rate and marginal lending rate); ⑤ PPI in November in the United States at 21: 30, and the number of people applying for unemployment benefits for the first time in the week of December 7; ⑥ 21:45 European Central Bank President Lagarde held a press conference; 7 Broadcom released its performance report after the US stock market closed."The number of accounts opened exceeds expectations" is a general evaluation of the pilot situation of personal pension in the industry. Starting with the announcement of the pilot list of 36 cities (regions) on November 25th, 2022, by the end of June 2023, in less than one year, the number of people opening individual pension accounts has reached 40.3 million, and by the end of June 2024, the number of people opening individual pension accounts in China has exceeded 60 million. (Securities Times)At the end of new york on Wednesday (December 11th), the main contract of CME bitcoin futures BTC was $102,000, up 5.44% from the end of new york on Tuesday. The main contract of CME ethereum futures DCR was reported at $3,855.00, up 4.70% from Tuesday.

CICC: Maintain the target price of Wanwuyun's "outperforming industry" rating of HK$ 30.58. CICC released a research report saying that it will maintain Wanwuyun (02602.HK)' s "outperforming industry" rating and be optimistic about the company's long-term multi-track and all-round comprehensive competitive strength based on residential, commercial, technological and urban scenes, with a target price of HK$ 30.58. Keep the profit forecast unchanged. The company's shares are currently trading at 9.6 times the 2024 P/E ratio based on the core net profit, and the annual dividend yield is 8.0% according to the dividend payout ratio of 55% in the second half of the year.Fund researchers bluntly said: the era of monetary fund lying and winning is over. Shanghai thought that unnamed fund researchers bluntly said that the era of monetary fund lying and winning is over. A person from a fund company in South China said that the continuous decline in the yield of money funds means that the impact of rates is becoming more and more important. Since the beginning of this year, many money funds have announced fee reductions. Wang Menghan, an analyst at Zheshang Securities, said that compared with similar products, the advantages of money funds are tax exemption, liquidity and stable net value. Among them, for institutional customers, there are still tax exemption and liquidity demands, so there is little demand for reducing the holdings of money funds. However, for non-institutional investors, because the stability of the net value of the money fund will be obviously weakened, there is a demand to reduce the holdings of the money fund. (SSE)US$ 895 billion The US House of Representatives passed the national defense policy bill for fiscal year 2025. On December 11, local time, the US House of Representatives passed the national defense policy bill of US$ 895 billion with 281 votes in favor and 140 votes against, authorizing the Ministry of National Defense to provide funds for fiscal year 2025. It is reported that the bill has now been sent to the Senate.

Guotai Junan: A shares are expected to go out of the New Year's market. Recently, Guotai Junan's 2025 strategy meeting will be held in Shenzhen. The conference made an in-depth discussion and comprehensive outlook on the hot topics of market concern and the investment strategy in 2025. Fang Yi, chief strategist of Guotai Junan, said in an interview that the bottom of the A-share market has emerged, which is optimistic about the prospects of China stock market. The key driving force for the market to start comes from the decline of risk-free interest rate and the boost of risk preference. After a long period of continuous adjustment, the pessimistic expectation and microstructure of A-shares are fully clarified, and the positive signal of decision-makers to steady economic growth and support the capital market is an important cornerstone for the upward revision of long-term expectations and the elevation of the bottom of the stock market. Looking forward to the A-share market in 2025, Fang Yi said that there is still room for the optimistic policy expectation at the end of the year and the beginning of the year, and A-shares are expected to go out of the New Year's market. However, in the case of rising geopolitical conflict risks, the stock index may face a staged headwind. However, as the market stabilizes and revises the economic and policy expectations, the stock index is expected to strengthen again in the second half of 2025. (shanghai securities news)The two-wheel drive robot industry in the policy market is welcoming the expansion period. The reporter was informed that many places have successively issued relevant policies for the development of the robot industry, planned development goals, and refined measures around improving basic innovation capabilities, accelerating the demonstration application of "robot+"innovation, and promoting the accelerated agglomeration of business entities to accelerate the innovation and development of the robot industry. Recently, Hangzhou released the Development Plan of Humanoid Robot Industry in Hangzhou (2024-2029). Chongqing, Nanjing, Sichuan Tianfu New District and other places have also issued relevant policies to promote the development of the robot industry, and based on the current situation and advantages of industrial development in various regions, promote the further development of the robot industry. Gao Chao, deputy general manager of CCID Consulting Advanced Manufacturing Research Center, said that the scale of China's robot industry is expected to grow to about 400 billion yuan during the Tenth Five-Year Plan period. While accelerating the overall development level of the robot industry, building an industrial innovation system and strengthening product application and promotion have also become the focus of multi-party efforts. Policy and market two-wheel drive have further opened up the development space for robot-related enterprises. (Economic Information Daily)CICC: The CPI of the United States rose as scheduled in November, but it did not hinder the interest rate cut. CICC released a research report saying that the CPI and core CPI of the United States both rose to 0.31% in November, which was basically in line with the market and its expectations. For the post-election policies, if the immigration and tariff policies are too radical, it will bring pressure to inflation at the end of next year, which will have an impact on the market and even the mid-term elections. Therefore, before the mid-term elections, due to the "realistic constraints" of inflation, the inflation policy will be faster, but the scope may be limited, while the growth policy will be faster, and then the overall assets will still be positive. According to the difference between the natural interest rate and the real interest rate, CICC estimates that after the interest rate cut in December, there may still be two or three interest rate cuts in 2025, with the end point of interest rate cut at 3.5-3.75% and the center corresponding to long-term US debt at 3.8-4%.